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Forecasting Monthly Product Sales for Tech Tierra: A Comprehensive Analysis Using Time Series Methods Nova Southeastern University

Time series forecasting analysis for Tech Tierra's monthly sales data.

Adam Morris
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Forecasting Monthly Product Sales for Tech Tierra: A ComprehensiveAnalysis Using Time Series MethodsNova Southeastern UniversityNova Southeastern UniversityH. Wayne Huizenga Schoolof Business & EntrepreneurshipAssignment for Course:Business Modeling QNT 5040Submitted to:Phillip RokickiSubmitted by:Ralph PetitDate of Submission:12/1/13Title of Assignment:Case AnalysisAs part of the case study analysis for Tech Tierra, a Texas-based company, variousforecasting techniques were applied to predict the company's monthly product sales for theperiod from September 2013 to August 2014. In your response, evaluate the effectiveness ofthe four forecasting methods used in the analysis: Moving Average, Simple ExponentialSmoothing, Holt’s Linear Method, and Winter’s Method for Trend and Seasonality. Based onthe Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) values,explain why Winter’s Method is considered the best forecasting technique for Tech Tierra.Additionally, discuss the implications of accurate forecasting for Tech Tierra’s businessoperations, especially considering its expansion into new markets.Word Count Requirement:600-800 words4o mini

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