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Unit 5 Data Quick Memorize Formulas

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This deck covers key probability distributions, including hypergeometric, normal approximation, geometric, binomial, and uniform distributions, along with their formulas and conditions.

When do we use hypergeometric and what formulas do we use?

The hypergeometric distribution is one unlike any of the others. There are 3 conditions which must be fulfilled:
Trials that are not identical
Trials that are dependent
Two possible outcomes; success or failure

Hypergeometric distribution probability formula

P(x) = (aCx)(n-aCr-x)/nCr

where n = # of possible outcomes
a = # of successful outcomes r = # of dependent trials
x = number of required successes

Hypergeometric distribution expected value = probability of success times the number of dependent trials.

E(x) = r (a/n)

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Key Terms

Term
Definition

When do we use hypergeometric and what formulas do we use?

The hypergeometric distribution is one unlike any of the others. There are 3 conditions which must be fulfilled:
Tria...

P(x) = (aCx)(n-aCr-x)/nCr

E(x) = r (a/n)

Trials that are not identical

Trials that are dependent

Two possible outcomes; success or failure

hypergeometric distribution

Normal approximation

Standard deviation can be calculated by 𝜎=√(npq)

Condition for normal approximation = ...

𝜎=√(npq)

np>5 and nq>5

normal approximation

geometric distributions

Wait time

Example: Determine the probability of producing 3 cars before finding a defec...

P(x) = (q^x) (p)
E(x) = q/p
Wait time

geometric distributions

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TermDefinition

When do we use hypergeometric and what formulas do we use?

The hypergeometric distribution is one unlike any of the others. There are 3 conditions which must be fulfilled:
Trials that are not identical
Trials that are dependent
Two possible outcomes; success or failure

Hypergeometric distribution probability formula

P(x) = (aCx)(n-aCr-x)/nCr

where n = # of possible outcomes
a = # of successful outcomes r = # of dependent trials
x = number of required successes

Hypergeometric distribution expected value = probability of success times the number of dependent trials.

E(x) = r (a/n)

P(x) = (aCx)(n-aCr-x)/nCr

E(x) = r (a/n)

Trials that are not identical

Trials that are dependent

Two possible outcomes; success or failure

hypergeometric distribution

Normal approximation

Standard deviation can be calculated by 𝜎=√(npq)

Condition for normal approximation = If X is a binomial random variable of n independent trials, each with probability of success p, and if np>5 and nq>5. This lets the binomial random variable be approximated by a normal distribution.

𝜎=√(npq)

np>5 and nq>5

normal approximation

geometric distributions

Wait time

Example: Determine the probability of producing 3 cars before finding a defect if the probability of a defect is 1%.

The formula for geometric distribution probability is:
P(x) = (q^x) (p) where x is the number of failures before the first success, p is the probability of success and q is the probability of failure

P(x) = (q^x) (p)
= 0.99^3 (0.01)
=0.0097
The probability is 0.0097 or 0.97% chance of finding a defect

Expected value
E(x) = q/p

P(x) = (q^x) (p)
E(x) = q/p
Wait time

geometric distributions

Binomial distributions

P(x) = nCx (p^x) (q^n-x)

n = # of trials p = probability of successes

x = # of successes q = probability of failure

E(x) = np where n = number of trials and p = probability of success

Bernoulli Trials, they consist of:

Are the trials identical?

Trials have to be done the same way each time.

Are the trials independent?

The first outcome of a trial does not impact the next.

Do the trials have two outcomes (success or failure)?

The desired outcome will either happen (success) or not happen (failure)

P(x) = nCx (px) (q n-x)

n = # of trials p = probability of successes

x = # of successes q = probability of failure

E(x) = np where n = number of trials and p = probability of success

Bernoulli Trials, they consist of:
Are the trials identical?
Trials have to be done the same way each time.
Are the trials independent?
The first outcome of a trial does not impact the next.
Do the trials have two outcomes (success or failure)?
The desired outcome will either happen (success) or not happen (failure)

Binomial distribution

Uniform distribution

When all outcomes in a distribution are equally likely in any single trial, we call this a uniform probability distribution.
P(X) = 1 / n

Expected value - an expectation/expected value, E(X), is the predicted average of all possible outcomes in a single trial of a probability experiment. Expected value is the long-run average.

Formula E(X) = sum of x P(x)

P(X) = 1/n
E(X)= Sum of xP(x)
All outcomes in a distribution are likely

uniform distribution