Statistics - Univariate Inferential Tests
- Statistics
- Texas A&M University
- 103 pages
- Shared March 2026
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Study Guide Statistics – Univariate Inferential Tests 1. One - Sample z - Test 1.1 Requirements (When can we use this test?) A one - sample z - test is used when: • The population is normally distributed , and • The population standard deviation σ is known This test is mainly used to make decisions about a population mean ( μ) . 1) Testing a Population Mean (Hypothesis Test) In a one - sample z - test, the test statistic is: For mula: Meaning of each symbol • x̄ = sample mean • Δ = the value you are testing (the hypothesized mean) • σ = population standard deviation (known) • n = sample size After you compute the z - value, you use the standard normal table (Table in Appendix B) to find the probability value for that z - score.
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Study Guide Example 1: Steer Weight Gain (Right - Tailed Test) A herd of 1,500 steer was fed a special high - protein grain for one month. A random sample of 29 steer was weighed and had an average gain of: • x̄ = 6.7 pounds The standard deviation of weight gain for the entire herd is known: • σ = 7.1 You want to test this claim: The average monthly weight gain is more than 5 pounds. Step 1: Write the hypotheses Since the question asks “more than 5,” this is a right - tailed test . null hypothesis : H 0 : μ = 5 alternative hypothesis : H a : μ > 5 Step 2: Compute the z statistic Using the formula, the z - value is calculated as approximately: z = 1.289 Then we look up the z - value in the z - table: • Tabled value for z ≤ 1.28 is 0.8997 • So the right - tail probability is: p = 1 − 0.8997 = 0.1003
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Study Guide Step 3: Decision This p - value means: The probability of getting a sample mean of 6.7 or higher (assuming the null hypothesis is true) is p = 0.1003 . Should we reject the null hypothesis? That depends on your chosen significance level. • If you decided beforehand that α = 0.05 , then: p = 0.1003 > 0.05 , so you cannot reject H ₀ . So the null hypothesis would not be rejected at the 0.05 significance level . Example 2: Vocabulary Test (Two - Tailed Test) A vocabulary test is known to have: • Population mean: μ = 68 • Population standard deviation: σ = 13 A class of 19 students takes the test and has: • Sample mean: x̄ = 65 Question: Is this class typical of others who have taken the test? Assume α = 0.05 . 1.2 Why is this a two - tailed test? There are two ways this class could be different: • They could score lower than average, or • They could score higher than average So we use a two - tailed test .
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Study Guide Step 1: State the hypotheses • Null hypothesis: H ₀ : μ = 68 • Alternative hypothesis: Hₐ: μ ≠ 68 Step 2: Find the critical values Because α = 0.05 and this is two - tailed , the alpha is split into two equal tails: • Upper tail = 0.025 • Lower tail = 0.025 From the z - table: • Lower critical value = − 1.96 • Upper critical value = 1.96 So we reject H ₀ if the computed z - score is outside: − 1.96 to 1.96 Step 3: Compute the test statistic “Now compute the z statistic using the one - sample z - test formula:” The computed value is: z = −1.006 Step 4: Make the decision Since − 1.006 is between −1.96 and 1.96 , it falls in the acceptance region.
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Study Guide Therefore, the null hypothesis cannot be rejected . Final conclusion (in simple words) There is not enough evidence to say this class is different from other students who have taken the test. 2) Confidence Interval for a Population Mean ( σ Known) A z - based confidence interval for the mean is written as: For mula: “A z - based confidence interval for the mean is written as:” Meaning of the symbols • a and b = lower and upper limits of the interval • x̄ = sample mean • z( α/2) = the positive critical z - value for half of alpha (because confidence intervals are always two - tailed) • σ = population standard deviation • n = sample size Example 3: Machine Pin Diameters (99% Confidence Interval) A sample of 12 machine pins has: • x̄ = 1.15 inches • σ = 0.04 inches (known)
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Study Guide Find a 99% confidence interval for the population mean diameter. Step 1: Find the z - value for 99% confidence A 99% confidence level corresponds to: • α = 0.01 Since confidence intervals are two - tailed: • α/2 = 0.005 The z - value corresponding to an area of 0.005 in the upper tail is: z = 2.58 Step 2: Compute the interval “Now plug the values into the confidence interval formula:” So the confidence interval is: (1.12, 1.18) Correct interpretation We are 99% confident that the population mean pin diameter lies between: 1.12 inches and 1.18 inches Important note: This does NOT mean that 99% of the machine pins have diameters between 1.12 and 1.18 inches. That conclusion would be incorrect because the interval is estimating the population mean , not individual values.
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Study Guide 3) Sample Size Needed for a Desired Confidence Interval Surveys and studies can be expensive. So researchers often want to know: “How many subjects do we need to get a confidence interval with a certain width?” The sample size formula is: “To plan ahead, we can use this formula to calculate the required sample size:” Meaning of the symbols • n = required sample size • z( α/2) = critical z - value for the chosen significance level • σ = population standard deviation • w = desired total confidence interval width Important reminder: The confidence interval width w is always double the “plus or minus” amount. Example 4: Average Age at Fisher College (Finding n) How many students are needed to estimate the average age at Fisher College within ±1 year , with: • 95% significance level • σ = 3.5 Here, “±1 year” means the total width is: w = 2
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Study Guide “Now substitute the values into the sample size formula:” Final Answer The calculation gives: n = 47.06 Since sample size must be a whole number, we round up : n = 48 students So, a sample of 48 students would be sufficient to estimate the mean age within ±1 year at the given confidence level. 2. Quiz: One - Sample z - test 1. Question A test is conducted for ( H 0 : μ = 34), with ( σ = 5). A sample of size 100 is selected. The standard error of the sampling distribution is: Answer Choices • 0.05 • 0.5 • 5 Correct Answer 0.5 Why This Is Correct Standard error for a one - sample z - test is:
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Study Guide 2. Question A test is conducted for ( H 0 : μ = 20), with ( σ = 4). A sample of size 36 has ( x̄ = 21.4). The test statistic is: Answer Choices • 0.35 • 2.1 • 12.6 Correct Answer 2.1 Why This Is Correct First find the standard error: Then compute z: 3. Question A test is conducted for ( H 0 : μ = 50) vs. (H a : μ > 50). The test statistic is (z = 2.46). The p - value is: Answer Choices • 0.0069 • 0.0138 • 0.9931
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Study Guide Correct Answer 0.0069 Why This Is Correct This is a right - tailed test , so: 4. Question A test is conducted for ( H 0 : μ = 9.0) vs. (H a : μ < 9.0). The test statistic is (z = - 1.44). Correct conclusions are: Answer Choices • reject ( H 0 ) at both ( α = 0.05) and ( α = 0.10) • reject ( H 0 ) at ( α = 0.05) but do not reject at ( α = 0.10) • reject ( H 0 ) at ( α = 0.10) but do not reject at ( α = 0.05) Correct Answer reject ( H 0 ) at ( α = 0.10) but do not reject at ( α = 0.05) Why This Is Correct Left - tailed critical values: • at ( α = 0.10): ( z c ≈ - 1.28) • at ( α = 0.05): ( z c ≈ - 1.65) Since ( - 1.44 < - 1.28), reject at 0.10. But ( - 1.44) is not less than ( - 1.65), so do not reject at 0.05. 5. Question The null hypothesis is:
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